Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 124.055666 144.289331 168.528530 200.239975 241.468043 2.945089e+02 370.136728
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 96.573268 120.341172 152.054464 199.267286 271.345400 3.844494e+02 593.938237
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 82.649481 107.450958 142.885493 200.460251 299.341411 4.816734e+02 913.693572
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 71.246675 95.181346 130.944417 192.636737 308.026885 5.495674e+02 1263.594048
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 66.326566 91.204210 130.218784 202.187636 351.063135 7.175890e+02 2225.848824
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 59.557882 83.302019 121.631790 195.324181 358.018477 8.065875e+02 3234.318272
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 55.422888 78.938157 118.101966 196.925215 384.481032 9.791537e+02 5826.225280
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 51.251097 73.982939 112.735815 193.512984 397.500949 1.126227e+03 10383.054608
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 50.293583 74.201531 116.553619 210.215354 472.980922 1.657372e+03 62775.062752
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 50.462587 76.320110 124.202737 237.886414 602.883368 2.937936e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 47.615068 72.773152 120.254450 236.573230 634.278092 3.710802e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 45.507300 70.354172 118.240670 239.753771 686.851014 5.128781e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 42.509093 66.330080 113.028018 235.029334 713.170833 6.793908e+03 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 40.055326 63.148985 109.294586 233.933449 760.411486 1.020812e+04 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 38.080305 60.669103 106.700367 235.439454 825.662098 1.775195e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 35.566782 56.926995 100.834279 225.569203 819.598832 2.302989e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 34.689059 56.288990 101.857057 237.624611 967.349434 9.378920e+04 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 32.678909 53.236273 96.931486 228.954826 965.433645 1.726857e+05 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 31.447182 51.648313 95.260946 230.974242 1051.758921 3.183469e+06 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 29.992103 49.498308 92.006300 226.672525 1083.713556 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 29.879652 50.079353 95.437115 247.806984 1406.118366 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 30.239818 51.675320 101.682216 283.242406 2084.581140 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 29.105328 49.985313 99.182217 281.549162 2238.351256 NaN NaN